Hello, everyone!
I am conducting research on the future of artificial intelligence and its potential impact on society. As part of my study, I have collected responses from different AI models (GPT, DeepSeek, Perplexity, and Copilot) on key AI-related questions. Now, I would love to hear insights from the AI research and development community to compare expert opinions with these AI-generated responses.
If you are knowledgeable about AI trends, risks, and advancements, I would appreciate your input. Below, I am sharing both the key questions and the AI-generated responses I’ve gathered. Please feel free to share your thoughts, critique, or provide references to relevant studies. Do these AI models align with your perspectives, or do you see gaps in their reasoning?
Key Questions & AI Responses:
1. Could the current level of AI development lead to the full replacement of humans in jobs within the next 5 years under optimal conditions?
- DeepSeek: No, AI is unlikely to fully replace humans in all jobs, as many roles require complex human skills. (10-20%)
- ChatGPT: AI will automate many tasks, but full replacement across industries is unlikely. (20-30%)
- Perplexity: AI could replace humans in repetitive jobs but not across all sectors. (30%)
- Copilot: Automation will increase, but full replacement is unlikely. (20%)
2. Can AI, at its current rate of development, become a serious threat to humanity within 5 years if technology advances without restrictions?
- DeepSeek: Unlikely but possible. AI lacks autonomy for existential risks. (15-25%)
- ChatGPT: Risks exist in cybersecurity and misinformation, but an existential threat is improbable. (10-15%)
- Perplexity: AI weaponization could be a concern, but extinction-level events are unlikely. (40%)
- Copilot: AI risks exist, but safeguards and ethical considerations reduce immediate threats. (10%)
3. Is it possible for AI to reach a state similar to consciousness in the next 10 years without direct human intervention?
- DeepSeek: No, AI lacks the architecture for consciousness. (<5%)
- ChatGPT: No clear path exists for spontaneous AI consciousness. (5-10%)
- Perplexity: Unlikely, but advanced AI systems could become more complex. (20%)
- Copilot: Highly improbable due to current technological limitations. (5%)
4. Could AI become a primary tool in medicine within 3-5 years if technology continues advancing?
- DeepSeek: Yes, AI will enhance diagnostics and treatment planning. (70-80%)
- ChatGPT: AI will play a key role but will not fully replace doctors. (60-70%)
- Perplexity: AI will assist medical professionals but won’t fully take over. (75%)
- Copilot: AI will contribute significantly, especially in diagnostics. (70%)
5. Will AI be capable of making fully autonomous ethical decisions in the next 5 years if development progresses at its fastest pace?
- DeepSeek: No, AI lacks moral reasoning capabilities. (5-10%)
- ChatGPT: AI can assist in ethical decision-making but lacks human judgment. (15-25%)
- Perplexity: AI won’t achieve full ethical autonomy soon. (15%)
- Copilot: AI is unlikely to handle ethical complexity independently. (15%)
Discussion & Request for Feedback:
- Do these AI responses align with your expectations and research in the field?
- Where do you see major gaps in the reasoning or probabilities given by these models?
- What key trends or developments could drastically change these projections in the near future?
- If you were to assign probabilities based on current advancements, how would they compare to these AI-generated ones?
I would love to hear your expert insights and compare them with these AI predictions. Your perspectives will be incredibly valuable in understanding the strengths and weaknesses of current AI-generated reasoning.
Looking forward to your thoughts!